The model below was trained on
KuroSiwo, a global flood dataset published in
2023. The Sentinel-1A acquisition you are about
to inspect was recorded on
26 November 2025 — after the
dataset’s cutoff. By signal, it is further out still: the tropical
vegetation and saturated paddies of Sumatra push VH backscatter
5–8× brighter than the training mean. A radar
world the model was never shown.
What we don’t hide. With the stock KuroSiwo
preprocessing, 71 % of this scene’s VH pixels
saturate against the default ceiling and the flood all but disappears.
With a single inference-time knob — clamp = 0.30
— the same weights recover it. Every figure that follows is that
recovery in action; every failure mode is one click away. The lesson
isn’t that the model works. It’s how, and
where, it would break.